مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hubert Hurkacz v Jan-Lennard Struff

البداية: 2026-07-05 15:52 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 72.51%1.38السعر العادل
EV +3.69%
الأفضلية +2.58%
Kelly +8.59%
النمو +0.317%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.51%72.66%72.13%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.301.291.4386.96%76.74%77.22%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.49%3.64السعر العادل
EV +37.44%
الأفضلية +7.49%
Kelly +9.36%
النمو +3.50%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.70%27.34%27.87%33.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.483.415.0035.71%28.72%29.37%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50%5.5%2026-07-05 15:48
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -16.61%E -14.44%K -110.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50%7.0%2026-07-05 15:49
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +31.94%E +6.66%K +8.41%G +2.69%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -47.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +15.45%E +3.68%K +4.83%G +0.746%5.1%2026-07-05 15:49
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +14.08%E +3.39%K +4.47%G +0.629%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +13.25%E +3.22%K +4.25%G +0.563%1.8%2026-07-05 15:44
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.75%EV +12.98%E +3.16%K +4.17%G +0.542%2.5%2026-07-05 15:40
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +9.95%E +2.49%K +3.32%G +0.330%3.1%2026-07-05 15:34
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250%4.1%2026-07-05 15:35
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250%4.1%2026-07-05 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%5.0%2026-07-05 15:34
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%5.0%2026-07-05 15:34
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%6.3%2026-07-05 15:35
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.83%E +1.51%K +2.05%G +0.119%4.7%2026-07-05 15:35
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071%3.8%2026-07-05 15:34
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -12.99%E -10.82%K -64.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071%9.6%2026-07-05 15:44
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:34
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011%5.2%2026-07-05 15:35
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011%5.2%2026-07-05 15:35
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +1.43%E +0.388%K +0.532%G +0.008%5.2%2026-07-05 15:34
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.333%E +0.091%K +0.126%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 15:43
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 15:49
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 15:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.42%E -0.681%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 15:34
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 15:50
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 15:35
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.06%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:27
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 15:50
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:49
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 15:50
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV -11.49%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.83%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.16%E -5.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-05 15:50
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV +0.066%E +0.048%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -20.83%E -7.23%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 15:50
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +3.69%E +2.58%K +8.59%G +0.317%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 15:50
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +2.24%E +1.59%K +5.47%G +0.123%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -23.03%E -8.23%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 15:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-07-05 15:50
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-07-05 15:50
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50