A Escola das Odds

Hubert Hurkacz v Jan-Lennard Struff

Início: 2026-07-05 15:52 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Previsão 72.51%1.38odd justa
EV +3.69%
Vantagem +2.58%
Kelly +8.59%
Crescimento +0.317%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.51%72.66%72.13%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.301.291.4386.96%76.74%77.22%69.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)

Previsão 27.49%3.64odd justa
EV +37.44%
Vantagem +7.49%
Kelly +9.36%
Crescimento +3.50%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.70%27.34%27.87%33.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.483.415.0035.71%28.72%29.37%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50%5.5%2026-07-05 15:48
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -16.61%E -14.44%K -110.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50%7.0%2026-07-05 15:49
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +31.94%E +6.66%K +8.41%G +2.69%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -47.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +15.45%E +3.68%K +4.83%G +0.746%5.1%2026-07-05 15:49
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +14.08%E +3.39%K +4.47%G +0.629%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +13.25%E +3.22%K +4.25%G +0.563%1.8%2026-07-05 15:44
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.75%EV +12.98%E +3.16%K +4.17%G +0.542%2.5%2026-07-05 15:40
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +9.95%E +2.49%K +3.32%G +0.330%3.1%2026-07-05 15:34
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250%4.1%2026-07-05 15:35
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250%4.1%2026-07-05 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%5.0%2026-07-05 15:34
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%5.0%2026-07-05 15:34
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%6.3%2026-07-05 15:35
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.83%E +1.51%K +2.05%G +0.119%4.7%2026-07-05 15:35
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071%3.8%2026-07-05 15:34
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -12.99%E -10.82%K -64.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071%9.6%2026-07-05 15:44
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:34
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011%5.2%2026-07-05 15:35
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011%5.2%2026-07-05 15:35
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +1.43%E +0.388%K +0.532%G +0.008%5.2%2026-07-05 15:34
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.333%E +0.091%K +0.126%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 15:43
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 15:49
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 15:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.42%E -0.681%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 15:34
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 15:50
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 15:35
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.06%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:27
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 15:50
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:49
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 15:50
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV -11.49%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.83%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.16%E -5.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-05 15:50
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV +0.066%E +0.048%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -20.83%E -7.23%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 15:50
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +3.69%E +2.58%K +8.59%G +0.317%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 15:50
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +2.24%E +1.59%K +5.47%G +0.123%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -23.03%E -8.23%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-07-05 15:50
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-07-05 15:50
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50