La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hubert Hurkacz v Jan-Lennard Struff
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Predicción 72.51%1.38momio equitativo
EV +3.69%
Ventaja +2.58%
Kelly +8.59%
Crecimiento +0.317%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.51%72.66%72.13%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.301.291.4386.96%76.74%77.22%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)
Predicción 27.49%3.64momio equitativo
EV +37.44%
Ventaja +7.49%
Kelly +9.36%
Crecimiento +3.50%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.70%27.34%27.87%33.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.483.415.0035.71%28.72%29.37%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 15:48 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -16.61%E -14.44%K -110.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| TAB | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +31.94%E +6.66%K +8.41%G +2.69% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -47.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +15.45%E +3.68%K +4.83%G +0.746% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +14.08%E +3.39%K +4.47%G +0.629% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +13.25%E +3.22%K +4.25%G +0.563% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 15:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.75%EV +12.98%E +3.16%K +4.17%G +0.542% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +9.95%E +2.49%K +3.32%G +0.330% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| ReBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.83%E +1.51%K +2.05%G +0.119% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -12.99%E -10.82%K -64.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071% | 9.6% | 2026-07-05 15:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +1.43%E +0.388%K +0.532%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.333%E +0.091%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 15:43 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.42%E -0.681%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.06%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 15:27 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV -11.49%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Fliff | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.83%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.16%E -5.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV +0.066%E +0.048%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -20.83%E -7.23%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +3.69%E +2.58%K +8.59%G +0.317% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +2.24%E +1.59%K +5.47%G +0.123% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -23.03%E -8.23%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |