L’École des cotes

Hubert Hurkacz v Jan-Lennard Struff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 15:52 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prévision 72.51%1.38cote équitable
EV +3.69%
Avantage +2.58%
Kelly +8.59%
Croissance +0.317%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.51%72.66%72.13%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.301.291.4386.96%76.74%77.22%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.49%3.64cote équitable
EV +37.44%
Avantage +7.49%
Kelly +9.36%
Croissance +3.50%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.70%27.34%27.87%33.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.483.415.0035.71%28.72%29.37%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50%5.5%2026-07-05 15:48
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -16.61%E -14.44%K -110.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +37.44%E +7.49%K +9.36%G +3.50%7.0%2026-07-05 15:49
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +31.94%E +6.66%K +8.41%G +2.69%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -47.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +15.45%E +3.68%K +4.83%G +0.746%5.1%2026-07-05 15:49
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +14.08%E +3.39%K +4.47%G +0.629%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +13.25%E +3.22%K +4.25%G +0.563%1.8%2026-07-05 15:44
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.75%EV +12.98%E +3.16%K +4.17%G +0.542%2.5%2026-07-05 15:40
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +9.95%E +2.49%K +3.32%G +0.330%3.1%2026-07-05 15:34
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250%4.1%2026-07-05 15:35
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +8.58%E +2.17%K +2.91%G +0.250%4.1%2026-07-05 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%5.0%2026-07-05 15:34
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.64%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%5.0%2026-07-05 15:34
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -10.09%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +7.20%E +1.85%K +2.48%G +0.179%6.3%2026-07-05 15:35
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.83%E +1.51%K +2.05%G +0.119%4.7%2026-07-05 15:35
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071%3.8%2026-07-05 15:34
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -12.99%E -10.82%K -64.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +4.46%E +1.17%K +1.59%G +0.071%9.6%2026-07-05 15:44
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:34
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.08%E +0.822%K +1.12%G +0.035%6.7%2026-07-05 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011%5.2%2026-07-05 15:35
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.71%E +0.461%K +0.632%G +0.011%5.2%2026-07-05 15:35
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +1.43%E +0.388%K +0.532%G +0.008%5.2%2026-07-05 15:34
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.19%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.333%E +0.091%K +0.126%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 15:43
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 15:49
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.289%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 15:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.42%E -0.681%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 15:34
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 15:50
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 15:35
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.06%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:27
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 15:50
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:49
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 15:50
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV -11.49%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.83%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.79%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.16%E -5.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-05 15:50
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +1.52%E +1.08%K +3.79%G +0.057%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -18.91%E -6.41%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV +0.066%E +0.048%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -20.83%E -7.23%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 15:50
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +3.69%E +2.58%K +8.59%G +0.317%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 15:50
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -1.38%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -21.66%E -7.60%K -11.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-05 15:50
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +2.24%E +1.59%K +5.47%G +0.123%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -23.03%E -8.23%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-07-05 15:50
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-07-05 15:50
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-07-05 15:50
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%4.7%2026-07-05 15:50
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%6.0%2026-07-05 15:50