Language:English
Hamad Medjedovic v Sebastian Ofner
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Prediction 65.72%1.52fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.62%65.63%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.41%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sebastian Ofner (Visit)
Prediction 34.28%2.92fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.38%34.37%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.8838.46%36.38%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamad Medjedovic (Local): 65.72%; Sebastian Ofner (Visit): 34.28%. For Sebastian Ofner (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 12:11 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:07 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 12:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 12:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.03%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.26%E -0.438%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:08 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -8.46%E -3.17%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.86%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.65%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 12:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 12:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |