StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hamad Medjedovic v Sebastian Ofner

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 12:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hamad Medjedovic (Heim)

Prognose 65.72%1.52faire Quote
EV -2.74%
Vorteil -1.85%
Kelly -5.71%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.73%65.62%65.63%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.41%69.44%67.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Ofner (Auswärts)

Prognose 34.28%2.92faire Quote
EV -1.26%
Vorteil -0.438%
Kelly -0.672%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.33%34.38%34.37%36.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.602.752.752.8838.46%36.38%36.36%34.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Hamad Medjedovic (Heim): 65.72%; Sebastian Ofner (Auswärts): 34.28%. Für Sebastian Ofner (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.92. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.88, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.26%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 12:11
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:07
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 12:04
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 12:04
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.03%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:10
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:04
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:09
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.26%E -0.438%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:10
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 12:00
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:08
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:11
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:00
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:10
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -8.46%E -3.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 11:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.86%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.65%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-29 12:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-29 12:10
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-06-29 12:11
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-06-29 12:11
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%3.5%2026-06-29 12:10