La scuola delle quote

Hamad Medjedovic v Sebastian Ofner

Inizio: 2026-06-29 12:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Casa)

Previsione 65.72%1.52quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -1.85%
Kelly -5.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.73%65.62%65.63%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.41%69.44%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sebastian Ofner (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.28%2.92quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.438%
Kelly -0.672%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.33%34.38%34.37%36.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.752.752.8838.46%36.38%36.36%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 12:11
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:07
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 12:04
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 12:04
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.03%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:04
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:09
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:11
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.26%E -0.438%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:10
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 12:00
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:08
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:11
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:00
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:10
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -8.46%E -3.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.86%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:01
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.65%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-29 12:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-29 12:10
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-06-29 12:11
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-06-29 12:11
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%3.5%2026-06-29 12:10