L’École des cotes

Hamad Medjedovic v Sebastian Ofner

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 12:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Prévision 65.72%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -5.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.62%65.63%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.41%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sebastian Ofner (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.28%2.92cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.438%
Kelly -0.672%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.38%34.37%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.8838.46%36.38%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 12:11
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:07
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 12:04
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 12:04
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.03%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:04
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:09
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:11
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.78%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.26%E -0.438%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:10
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 12:00
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:08
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:11
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:00
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:10
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -8.46%E -3.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.86%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:01
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.65%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-29 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-29 12:10
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-06-29 12:11
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-06-29 12:11
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%3.5%2026-06-29 12:10