Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prediction 65.30%1.53fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.45%65.21%65.63%67.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.15%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Roman Safiullin (Visit)

Prediction 34.70%2.88fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +0.683%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.72%34.79%34.37%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.9240.00%36.66%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 65.30%; Roman Safiullin (Visit): 34.70%. For Roman Safiullin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.31%E +0.449%K +0.683%G +0.009%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.618%E +0.213%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -1.81%E -0.640%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:07
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:04
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:02
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.26%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:06
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:58
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.53%E -4.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 10:07
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:09
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09