Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin

Inicio: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

65%

35%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Predicción 65.30%1.53momio equitativo

EV -2.04%

Ventaja -1.36%

Kelly -4.09%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

63.45%65.21%65.63%67.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.15%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Roman Safiullin (Visitante)

Predicción 34.70%2.88momio equitativo

EV +1.31%

Ventaja +0.449%

Kelly +0.683%

Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

32.72%34.79%34.37%36.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.502.732.752.9240.00%36.66%36.36%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
1xBet	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.31%E +0.449%K +0.683%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.618%E +0.213%K +0.325%G +0.002%	3.0%	2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-29 10:05
Codere (IT)	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -1.81%E -0.640%K -0.990%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
FanDuel	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-29 10:10
Tipico (DE)	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-29 10:09
Marathon Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:10
Casumo	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
TABtouch	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Grosvenor	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:10
BetRivers	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:07
Everygame	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:10
Betway	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:08
LeoVegas (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Betr (AU)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:10
betPARX	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
ATG (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-29 10:09
888sport	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (UK)	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-29 10:04
BetAnything	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-29 10:05
BetUS	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-29 10:02
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-29 10:09
Neds	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 10:09
Virgin Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 10:09
Coral	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.26%K -6.98%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 10:10
TAB	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-29 10:06
Fliff	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-29 09:58
NordicBet	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.53%E -4.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-29 10:07
Fanatics	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-29 10:09

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Matchbook	1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%	0.4%	2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%	0.9%	2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%	0.9%	2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%	0.9%	2026-06-29 10:09
ProphetX	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%	0.9%	2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets	1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%	2.3%	2026-06-29 10:10
Novig	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%	3.0%	2026-06-29 10:09