L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 65.30%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -4.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.45%65.21%65.63%67.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.15%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Roman Safiullin (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.70%2.88cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.449%
Kelly +0.683%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.72%34.79%34.37%36.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.752.9240.00%36.66%36.36%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.31%E +0.449%K +0.683%G +0.009%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.618%E +0.213%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:05
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -1.81%E -0.640%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:07
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:04
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:02
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.26%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:06
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:58
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.53%E -4.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 10:07
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:09
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09