Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin

Początek: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Andrey Rublev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.30%1.53kurs godziwy
EV -2.04%
Przewaga -1.36%
Kelly -4.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.45%65.21%65.63%67.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.15%69.44%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Roman Safiullin (Goście)

Prognoza 34.70%2.88kurs godziwy
EV +1.31%
Przewaga +0.449%
Kelly +0.683%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.72%34.79%34.37%36.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.732.752.9240.00%36.66%36.36%34.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Andrey Rublev (Gospodarze): 65.30%; Roman Safiullin (Goście): 34.70%. Dla wyniku Roman Safiullin (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.88. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.92, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.31%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.31%E +0.449%K +0.683%G +0.009%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.618%E +0.213%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -1.81%E -0.640%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:07
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:04
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:02
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.26%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:06
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:58
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.53%E -4.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 10:07
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:09
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09