Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin

Início: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Previsão 65.30%1.53odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -4.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.45%65.21%65.63%67.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.15%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Roman Safiullin (Visitante)

Previsão 34.70%2.88odd justa
EV +1.31%
Vantagem +0.449%
Kelly +0.683%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.72%34.79%34.37%36.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.732.752.9240.00%36.66%36.36%34.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Andrey Rublev (Local): 65.30%; Roman Safiullin (Visitante): 34.70%. Para Roman Safiullin (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.88. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.92, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.31%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.31%E +0.449%K +0.683%G +0.009%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.618%E +0.213%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.392%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -1.81%E -0.640%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:07
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:04
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:02
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.26%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:06
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.57%E -6.12%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.04%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:58
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.00%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.79%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.53%E -4.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 10:07
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:09
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09