赔率学院

Alex Molcan v Daniel Altmaier

开赛时间： 2026-07-01 16:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Alex Molcan (主队)

预测 94.91%1.05公平赔率
EV +34.77%
优势 +24.49%
Kelly +82.79%
增长率 +28.79%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
66.74%94.69%95.00%98.85%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.001.041.011.42100.00%96.43%99.01%70.42%MIN均值中位数MAX

Daniel Altmaier (客队)

预测 5.09%19.65公平赔率
EV +337.72%
优势 +3.93%
Kelly +3.97%
增长率 +13.42%

假设最高赔率为 86.00

博彩公司预测分布
1.15%5.31%5.00%33.26%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.8519.5315.0086.0035.09%5.12%6.67%1.16%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +34.77%E +24.49%K +82.79%G +28.79%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -85.49%E -30.00%K -46.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 11:54
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV +8.20%E +7.19%K +58.55%G +4.80%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -76.59%E -16.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-01 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:10
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:10
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:10
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:10
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -64.37%E -9.20%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:10
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 12:10
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -56.74%E -6.67%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV +0.605%E +0.571%K +10.08%G +0.061%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 12:11
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:10
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 12:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 12:11
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 92.90%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 7.10%EV -30.78%E -2.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-01 12:10
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:10
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.81%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -58.01%E -7.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 12:11
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 12:15
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.14%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80%1.9%2026-07-01 12:16
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809%2.5%2026-07-01 12:17
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669%2.6%2026-07-01 12:16
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%2.9%2026-07-01 12:16
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%2.9%2026-07-01 12:16
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.25%E +1.09%K +1.14%G +0.309%3.0%2026-07-01 12:17
Ladbrokes (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024%3.8%2026-07-01 12:17
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002%4.0%2026-07-01 12:16
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 12:14
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:16
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:16
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:14
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:17
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:14
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:13
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:13
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:14
FanDuel1.00I 100.00%NM 98.85%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%86.00I 1.16%NM 1.15%EV +337.72%E +3.93%K +3.97%G +13.42%1.2%2026-07-01 12:18
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +241.02%E +3.60%K +3.65%G +8.80%1.5%2026-07-01 12:16
Sky Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95%2.4%2026-07-01 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95%2.4%2026-07-01 12:14
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809%3.4%2026-07-01 12:17
Winamax (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669%3.6%2026-07-01 12:16
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024%4.8%2026-07-01 12:16
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024%4.8%2026-07-01 12:16
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024%4.8%2026-07-01 12:16
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:16
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61%0.7%2026-07-01 12:18
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-07-01 12:18
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-07-01 12:19
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.8%2026-07-01 12:17
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%35.97I 2.78%NM 2.70%2.8%2026-07-01 12:17
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81%30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19%3.3%2026-07-01 12:17