A Escola das OddsIdioma:Português
Alex Molcan v Daniel Altmaier
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Molcan (Local)
Previsão 94.91%1.05odd justa
EV +34.77%
Vantagem +24.49%
Kelly +82.79%
Crescimento +28.79%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.74%94.69%95.00%98.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.041.011.42100.00%96.43%99.01%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Previsão 5.09%19.65odd justa
EV +337.72%
Vantagem +3.93%
Kelly +3.97%
Crescimento +13.42%
pressupondo odds máximas de 86.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
1.15%5.31%5.00%33.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.8519.5315.0086.0035.09%5.12%6.67%1.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +34.77%E +24.49%K +82.79%G +28.79% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -85.49%E -30.00%K -46.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 11:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV +8.20%E +7.19%K +58.55%G +4.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -76.59%E -16.65%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| betPARX | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -64.37%E -9.20%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -56.74%E -6.67%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV +0.605%E +0.571%K +10.08%G +0.061% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Pinnacle | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.90%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 13.60I 7.35%NM 7.10%EV -30.78%E -2.26%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Fliff | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.81%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -58.01%E -7.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.75%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.14%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Coral | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| theScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.25%E +1.09%K +1.14%G +0.309% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Fanatics | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Caesars | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betsson | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| NordicBet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.85%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 86.00I 1.16%NM 1.15%EV +337.72%E +3.93%K +3.97%G +13.42% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +241.02%E +3.60%K +3.65%G +8.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Sky Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Bovada | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 12:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30% | 35.97I 2.78%NM 2.70% | 2.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81% | 30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |