مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Alex Molcan v Daniel Altmaier
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Alex Molcan (المضيف)
التنبؤ 94.91%1.05السعر العادل
EV +34.77%
الأفضلية +24.49%
Kelly +82.79%
النمو +28.79%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.74%94.69%95.00%98.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.041.011.42100.00%96.43%99.01%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Daniel Altmaier (الضيف)
التنبؤ 5.09%19.65السعر العادل
EV +337.72%
الأفضلية +3.93%
Kelly +3.97%
النمو +13.42%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 86.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
1.15%5.31%5.00%33.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.8519.5315.0086.0035.09%5.12%6.67%1.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +34.77%E +24.49%K +82.79%G +28.79% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -85.49%E -30.00%K -46.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 11:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV +8.20%E +7.19%K +58.55%G +4.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -76.59%E -16.65%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| betPARX | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -64.37%E -9.20%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -56.74%E -6.67%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV +0.605%E +0.571%K +10.08%G +0.061% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Pinnacle | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.90%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 13.60I 7.35%NM 7.10%EV -30.78%E -2.26%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Fliff | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.81%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -58.01%E -7.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.75%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.14%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Coral | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| theScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.25%E +1.09%K +1.14%G +0.309% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Fanatics | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Caesars | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betsson | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| NordicBet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.85%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 86.00I 1.16%NM 1.15%EV +337.72%E +3.93%K +3.97%G +13.42% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +241.02%E +3.60%K +3.65%G +8.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Sky Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Bovada | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 12:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30% | 35.97I 2.78%NM 2.70% | 2.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81% | 30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |