Språk:Svenska
Alex Molcan v Daniel Altmaier
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Alex Molcan (Hemma)
Prognos 94.91%1.05rättvist odds
EV +34.77%
Fördel +24.49%
Kelly +82.79%
Tillväxt +28.79%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.74%94.69%95.00%98.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.041.011.42100.00%96.43%99.01%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Borta)
Prognos 5.09%19.65rättvist odds
EV +337.72%
Fördel +3.93%
Kelly +3.97%
Tillväxt +13.42%
med antagandet om högsta odds 86.00
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
1.15%5.31%5.00%33.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.8519.5315.0086.0035.09%5.12%6.67%1.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alex Molcan (Hemma): 94.91%; Daniel Altmaier (Borta): 5.09%. För Daniel Altmaier (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 19.65. 17 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 86.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +337.72%.
Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +34.77%E +24.49%K +82.79%G +28.79% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -85.49%E -30.00%K -46.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 11:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV +8.20%E +7.19%K +58.55%G +4.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -76.59%E -16.65%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -64.37%E -9.20%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -56.74%E -6.67%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV +0.605%E +0.571%K +10.08%G +0.061% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.90%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 13.60I 7.35%NM 7.10%EV -30.78%E -2.26%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.81%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -58.01%E -7.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.75%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.14%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.25%E +1.09%K +1.14%G +0.309% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.85%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 86.00I 1.16%NM 1.15%EV +337.72%E +3.93%K +3.97%G +13.42% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +241.02%E +3.60%K +3.65%G +8.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (6)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 12:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30% | 35.97I 2.78%NM 2.70% | 2.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81% | 30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |