L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alex Molcan v Daniel Altmaier
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Molcan (Local)
Prévision 94.91%1.05cote équitable
EV +34.77%
Avantage +24.49%
Kelly +82.79%
Croissance +28.79%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.74%94.69%95.00%98.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.041.011.42100.00%96.43%99.01%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)
Prévision 5.09%19.65cote équitable
EV +337.72%
Avantage +3.93%
Kelly +3.97%
Croissance +13.42%
avec la cote maximale 86.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
1.15%5.31%5.00%33.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.8519.5315.0086.0035.09%5.12%6.67%1.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +34.77%E +24.49%K +82.79%G +28.79% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -85.49%E -30.00%K -46.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 11:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV +8.20%E +7.19%K +58.55%G +4.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -76.59%E -16.65%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| betPARX | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV +2.50%E +2.32%K +31.29%G +0.783% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -64.37%E -9.20%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +1.55%E +1.45%K +22.20%G +0.345% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -56.74%E -6.67%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV +0.605%E +0.571%K +10.08%G +0.061% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -61.83%E -8.24%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -0.344%E -0.328%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -59.28%E -7.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| Pinnacle | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.90%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 13.60I 7.35%NM 7.10%EV -30.78%E -2.26%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -54.19%E -6.02%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:10 |
| Fliff | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.81%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -58.01%E -7.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 12:11 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.75%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.14%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Coral | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| theScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.25%E +1.09%K +1.14%G +0.309% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Fanatics | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.793%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Caesars | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Betsson | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| NordicBet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.85%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 86.00I 1.16%NM 1.15%EV +337.72%E +3.93%K +3.97%G +13.42% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +241.02%E +3.60%K +3.65%G +8.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Sky Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +108.68%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 12:14 |
| Bovada | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.60%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.809% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +42.51%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.669% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:16 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 12:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30% | 35.97I 2.78%NM 2.70% | 2.8% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81% | 30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 12:17 |