A Escola das Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Fabian Marozsan

Início: 2026-07-01 12:06 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Previsão 65.94%1.52odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -1.62%
Kelly -5.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.90%65.94%65.95%67.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.421.431.4873.53%70.37%69.93%67.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)

Previsão 34.06%2.94odd justa
EV -0.556%
Vantagem -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.56%34.06%34.05%35.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.792.9238.46%35.77%35.78%34.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.06%E -2.08%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.556%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 12:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 11:57
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.03%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -8.39%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 12:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:57
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 12:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:57
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -4.98%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 12:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:56
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:57
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:58
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 11:51
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.45%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.34%E -6.00%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 11:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-07-01 12:00