L’École des cotes

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Fabian Marozsan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 12:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Prévision 65.94%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -5.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.90%65.94%65.95%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.431.4873.53%70.37%69.93%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.06%2.94cote équitable
EV -0.556%
Avantage -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%34.06%34.05%35.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.792.9238.46%35.77%35.78%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.06%E -2.08%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.556%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 12:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 11:57
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.03%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -8.39%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 12:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:57
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 12:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:57
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -4.98%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 12:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:56
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:57
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:58
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 11:51
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.45%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.34%E -6.00%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 11:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-07-01 12:00