Szkoła Kursów

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Fabian Marozsan

Początek: 2026-07-01 12:06 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.94%1.52kurs godziwy
EV -2.40%
Przewaga -1.62%
Kelly -5.01%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.48

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.90%65.94%65.95%67.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.421.431.4873.53%70.37%69.93%67.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fabian Marozsan (Goście)

Prognoza 34.06%2.94kurs godziwy
EV -0.556%
Przewaga -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.56%34.06%34.05%35.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.802.792.9238.46%35.77%35.78%34.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.06%E -2.08%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.556%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 12:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 11:57
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.03%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -8.39%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 12:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:57
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 12:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:57
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -4.98%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 12:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:56
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:57
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:58
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 11:51
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.45%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.34%E -6.00%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 11:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-07-01 12:00