Die Wettquotenschule

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Fabian Marozsan

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-01 12:06 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Heim)

Prognose 65.94%1.52faire Quote
EV -2.40%
Vorteil -1.62%
Kelly -5.01%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.90%65.94%65.95%67.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.361.421.431.4873.53%70.37%69.93%67.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Auswärts)

Prognose 34.06%2.94faire Quote
EV -0.556%
Vorteil -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.56%34.06%34.05%35.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.802.792.9238.46%35.77%35.78%34.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.06%E -2.08%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.556%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 12:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 11:57
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:00
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.03%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -8.39%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 12:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:57
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 11:59
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 12:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:57
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:58
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -4.98%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 12:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:56
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:57
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:58
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 11:51
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.45%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.34%E -6.00%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 11:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-07-01 12:00