La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Fabian Marozsan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Predicción 65.94%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -5.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.90%65.94%65.95%67.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.421.431.4873.53%70.37%69.93%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)
Predicción 34.06%2.94momio equitativo
EV -0.556%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%34.06%34.05%35.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.792.9238.46%35.77%35.78%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.40%E -1.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.06%E -2.08%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.556%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 11:57 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.72%E -2.55%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 11:54 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.03%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -8.39%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 11:57 |
| BetAnything | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:57 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 11:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 11:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -4.98%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:56 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 11:57 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.24%E -0.427%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.92%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 11:51 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.68%E -5.48%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.45%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Fliff | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.34%E -6.00%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.00%E -6.52%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |