The School of Odds

Ugo Humbert v Andres Martin

2026-07-28 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prediction 78.55%1.27fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -4.09%
Kelly -23.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.16%78.55%78.55%78.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.201.2184.75%83.46%83.33%82.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Andres Martin (Visit)

Prediction 21.45%4.66fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%21.45%21.45%21.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.334.474.504.5023.09%22.37%22.22%22.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -4.95%E -4.09%K -23.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -7.13%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 09:48
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:54
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:59
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 11:55
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.52%E -5.48%K -34.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 11:55
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.52%E -5.48%K -34.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 11:55
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.31%E -6.19%K -40.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.71%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.