Langue:Français
Ugo Humbert v Andres Martin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prévision 77.82%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -10.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.45%77.70%77.90%78.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.11%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Andres Martin (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.18%4.51cote équitable
EV +1.82%
Avantage +0.395%
Kelly +0.506%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 4.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%22.30%22.10%24.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.234.304.5926.67%23.67%23.26%21.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ugo Humbert (Local) : 77.82% ; Andres Martin (Visiteur) : 22.18%. Pour Andres Martin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.51. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.59, soit une espérance positive de +1.82%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +1.82%E +0.395%K +0.506%G +0.009% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.928%E +0.204%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.181%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -1.29%E -0.290%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.545%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 06:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -7.50%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -14.60%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |