Idioma:Español
Ugo Humbert v Andres Martin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Predicción 77.82%1.29momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -10.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%77.70%77.90%78.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.11%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Andres Martin (Visitante)
Predicción 22.18%4.51momio equitativo
EV +1.82%
Ventaja +0.395%
Kelly +0.506%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%22.30%22.10%24.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.234.304.5926.67%23.67%23.26%21.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ugo Humbert (Local): 77.82%; Andres Martin (Visitante): 22.18%. Para Andres Martin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.51. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.59, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +1.82%E +0.395%K +0.506%G +0.009% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.928%E +0.204%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.181%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -1.29%E -0.290%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.545%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 06:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -7.50%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -14.60%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |