Lingua:Italiano
Ugo Humbert v Andres Martin
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ugo Humbert (Casa)
Previsione 77.82%1.29quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -10.91%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.45%77.70%77.90%78.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.11%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Andres Martin (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.18%4.51quota equa
EV +1.82%
Vantaggio +0.395%
Kelly +0.506%
Crescita +0.009%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.59
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.13%22.30%22.10%24.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.234.304.5926.67%23.67%23.26%21.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ugo Humbert (Casa): 77.82%; Andres Martin (Trasferta): 22.18%. Per Andres Martin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.51. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.59, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.82%.
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +1.82%E +0.395%K +0.506%G +0.009% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.928%E +0.204%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.181%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -1.29%E -0.290%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.545%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 06:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -7.50%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -14.60%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |