StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ugo Humbert v Andres Martin

Matchstart: 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Ugo Humbert 2–0 Andres Martin

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ugo Humbert (Hemma)

Prognos 77.82%1.29rättvist odds
EV -2.73%
Fördel -2.18%
Kelly -10.91%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.45%77.70%77.90%78.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.11%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Andres Martin (Borta)

Prognos 22.18%4.51rättvist odds
EV +1.82%
Fördel +0.395%
Kelly +0.506%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.13%22.30%22.10%24.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.234.304.5926.67%23.67%23.26%21.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ugo Humbert (Hemma): 77.82%; Andres Martin (Borta): 22.18%. För Andres Martin (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.51. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.59, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +1.82%E +0.395%K +0.506%G +0.009%3.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.928%E +0.204%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.9%2026-07-28 14:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV +0.263%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.181%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 14:44
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -1.29%E -0.290%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 14:45
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.545%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 14:49
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:56
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:56
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 14:59
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:19
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 13:55
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 14:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 14:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 14:44
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 06:15
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 14:44
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 12:59
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 13:44
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 06:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 06:19
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:49
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -7.50%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 06:19
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 14:59
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 14:49
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.51%E -2.83%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 13:00
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 08:48
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.52%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -14.60%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 14:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-28 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-07-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-07-28 14:55
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-07-28 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-07-28 14:59
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-07-28 14:50
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%2.8%2026-07-28 14:59