Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Fritz v Kamil Majchrzak

Kickoff: 2026-07-29 19:39 UTC

Final: Taylor Fritz 2–0 Kamil Majchrzak

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Prediction 74.32%1.35fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%74.38%74.26%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.251.3381.97%79.42%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)

Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV +5.29%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.090%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%25.62%25.74%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.48%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Fritz (Local): 74.32%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 25.68%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090%2.5%2026-07-29 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090%5.7%2026-07-29 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.0%2026-07-29 18:55
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.0%2026-07-29 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%7.0%2026-07-29 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-29 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-29 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.157%E +0.040%K +0.054%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:35
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 02:13
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 18:55
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.67%E -0.704%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 18:59
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 19:30
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:25
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 18:58
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 18:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 19:34
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.16%E -0.869%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 07:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-29 19:35
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-07-29 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-07-29 19:35
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%3.2%2026-07-29 19:35

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