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Taylor Fritz v Kamil Majchrzak
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Taylor Fritz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 74.32%1.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.16%
Преимущество -0.869%
Kelly -3.50%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.96%74.38%74.26%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.261.251.3381.97%79.42%80.00%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Kamil Majchrzak (Гости)
Прогноз 25.68%3.89справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.29%
Преимущество +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Рост +0.090%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.08%25.62%25.74%29.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.48%26.67%24.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Taylor Fritz (Хозяева): 74.32%; Kamil Majchrzak (Гости): 25.68%. Для исхода «Kamil Majchrzak (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.89. 20 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.10, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.29%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.157%E +0.040%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 02:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.67%E -0.704%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 18:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.16%E -0.869%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 07:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |