Langue:Français
Taylor Fritz v Kamil Majchrzak
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prévision 74.32%1.35cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -3.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%74.38%74.26%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.251.3381.97%79.42%80.00%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV +5.29%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.090%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%25.62%25.74%29.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.48%26.67%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 74.32% ; Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur) : 25.68%. Pour Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.89. 20 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +5.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.157%E +0.040%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 02:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.67%E -0.704%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 18:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.16%E -0.869%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 07:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |