StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Taylor Fritz v Kamil Majchrzak

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-29 19:39 UTC

Endstand: Taylor Fritz 2–0 Kamil Majchrzak

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Taylor Fritz (Heim)

Prognose 74.32%1.35faire Quote
EV -1.16%
Vorteil -0.869%
Kelly -3.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.96%74.38%74.26%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.261.251.3381.97%79.42%80.00%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.68%3.89faire Quote
EV +5.29%
Vorteil +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Wachstum +0.090%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.08%25.62%25.74%29.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.48%26.67%24.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Taylor Fritz (Heim): 74.32%; Kamil Majchrzak (Auswärts): 25.68%. Für Kamil Majchrzak (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.89. 20 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.10 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.29%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090%2.5%2026-07-29 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090%5.7%2026-07-29 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.0%2026-07-29 18:55
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.0%2026-07-29 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%7.0%2026-07-29 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-29 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-29 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.157%E +0.040%K +0.054%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:35
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 02:13
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 18:55
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.67%E -0.704%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 18:59
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 19:30
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:25
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 18:58
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 18:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 19:34
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.16%E -0.869%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 07:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-29 19:35
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-07-29 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-07-29 19:35
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%3.2%2026-07-29 19:35