Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz v Kamil Majchrzak

Inizio: 2026-07-29 19:39 UTC

Finale: Taylor Fritz 2–0 Kamil Majchrzak

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz (Casa)

Previsione 74.32%1.35quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.869%
Kelly -3.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.96%74.38%74.26%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.261.251.3381.97%79.42%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.68%3.89quota equa
EV +5.29%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.08%25.62%25.74%29.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.48%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Taylor Fritz (Casa): 74.32%; Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta): 25.68%. Per Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.89. 20 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.29%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090%2.5%2026-07-29 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +5.29%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.090%5.7%2026-07-29 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.0%2026-07-29 18:55
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.0%2026-07-29 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-29 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.73%E +0.681%K +0.909%G +0.025%7.0%2026-07-29 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-29 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.84%E -6.33%K -32.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +1.44%E +0.365%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-29 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.157%E +0.040%K +0.054%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -0.870%E -0.225%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:35
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 02:13
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.59%E -6.98%K -37.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.41%E -0.634%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 18:55
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.67%E -0.704%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 18:59
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.39%E -2.60%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 19:30
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.33%E -7.65%K -42.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:25
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.10%E -5.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.13%E -3.20%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 18:58
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.62%E -4.42%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 18:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.87%E -3.81%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.36%E -5.05%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 19:34
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.16%E -0.869%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 07:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-29 19:35
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-07-29 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-29 19:30
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-07-29 19:35
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%3.2%2026-07-29 19:35