Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rafael Jodar v Kei Nishikori

2026-07-29 23:40 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

78%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Prediction 77.79%1.29fair odd

EV -5.10%

Edge -4.18%

Kelly -23.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.22%77.81%77.98%79.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.08%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kei Nishikori (Visit)

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd

EV +4.39%

Edge +0.933%

Kelly +1.19%

Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.34%22.19%22.02%23.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.754.274.304.7026.67%23.42%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.39%E +0.933%K +1.19%G +0.052%	4.6%	2026-07-29 01:15
SportsBet	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.99%E -7.68%K -52.86%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +2.17%E +0.471%K +0.601%G +0.013%	7.2%	2026-07-29 01:14
Bovada	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-28 23:04
Fanatics	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.97%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-29 01:15
William Hill	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-29 01:19
Mr Green (SE)	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-29 01:19
Sky Bet	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.99%E -7.68%K -52.86%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-29 01:14
1xBet	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.17%E -0.262%K -0.338%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-29 01:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.28%E -0.517%K -0.670%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-29 01:00
Winamax (DE)	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.97%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.28%E -0.517%K -0.670%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-29 01:14
DraftKings	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%	4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -3.17%E -0.726%K -0.942%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-29 01:10
betfred_uk	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.83%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 01:19
Bet Right	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-28 23:44
Betsson	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.97%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-29 01:15
Betr (AU)	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.97%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-29 01:14
PointsBet (AU)	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-29 01:14
theScore Bet	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.61%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-28 22:19
888sport	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-28 23:45
888sport (SE)	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-28 23:44
NordicBet	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.97%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-29 00:05
Unibet (UK)	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-29 01:14
ReBet	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-29 01:20
Bet Victor	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-28 21:28
Paddy Power	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.26%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-29 00:04
Winamax (FR)	1.18I 84.75%NM 76.77%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.60%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-29 01:14
Betclic (FR)	1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.10%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-29 00:05
Unibet (FR)	1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.99%E -7.68%K -52.86%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -16.71%E -4.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-29 01:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%	4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%	5.3%	2026-07-29 00:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%	7.7%	2026-07-29 01:14
Matchbook	1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%	9.2%	2026-07-29 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%	9.2%	2026-07-29 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%	9.2%	2026-07-29 01:20
Smarkets	1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%	10.1%	2026-07-29 01:15
ProphetX	1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%	10.7%	2026-07-29 01:19