Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Kei Nishikori
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 81.30%1.23momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -3.45%
Kelly -22.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.37%81.26%81.17%83.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.04%86.21%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kei Nishikori (Visitante)
Predicción 18.70%5.35momio equitativo
EV +8.67%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.156%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.76%18.74%18.83%20.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.035.005.8122.22%19.89%20.00%17.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rafael Jodar (Local): 81.30%; Kei Nishikori (Visitante): 18.70%. Para Kei Nishikori (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.35. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.81, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.67%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.76%EV +8.67%E +1.49%K +1.80%G +0.156% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.685%E -0.129%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.13%E -7.20%K -62.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.60%EV -4.24%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.29%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60% | 2.5% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |