預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar v Kei Nishikori

開賽時間: 2026-07-30 00:02 UTC

最終賽果: Rafael Jodar 2–0 Kei Nishikori

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

59 家博彩公司 (19 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar (主隊)

預測 81.30%1.23公平賠率
EV -4.07%
優勢 -3.45%
Kelly -22.61%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.18

博彩公司預測分布
79.37%81.26%81.17%83.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.04%86.21%84.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Kei Nishikori (客隊)

預測 18.70%5.35公平賠率
EV +8.67%
優勢 +1.49%
Kelly +1.80%
成長率 +0.156%

假設最高賠率為 5.81

博彩公司預測分布
16.76%18.74%18.83%20.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.505.035.005.8122.22%19.89%20.00%17.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Rafael Jodar (主隊):81.30%;Kei Nishikori (客隊):18.70%。 對於「Kei Nishikori (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.35的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為5.81,對應+8.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (59 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.76%EV +8.67%E +1.49%K +1.80%G +0.156%2.7%2026-07-29 23:55
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018%5.1%2026-07-29 23:54
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018%5.9%2026-07-29 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:55
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.685%E -0.129%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 23:33
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.13%E -7.20%K -62.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.60%EV -4.24%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:55
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 20:55
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 19:30
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:35
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:30
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.29%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 21:20
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 23:45
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 19:30
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 19:30
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 18:45
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:50
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:50
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 18:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-07-30 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-07-30 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-07-30 00:00
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-07-29 23:55
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-07-29 23:55
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-07-29 23:55
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%2.5%2026-07-30 00:00