Sprache:Deutsch
Rafael Jodar v Kei Nishikori
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Rafael Jodar (Heim)
Prognose 81.30%1.23faire Quote
EV -4.07%
Vorteil -3.45%
Kelly -22.61%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.37%81.26%81.17%83.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.04%86.21%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Kei Nishikori (Auswärts)
Prognose 18.70%5.35faire Quote
EV +8.67%
Vorteil +1.49%
Kelly +1.80%
Wachstum +0.156%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.81
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.76%18.74%18.83%20.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.035.005.8122.22%19.89%20.00%17.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 81.30%; Kei Nishikori (Auswärts): 18.70%. Für Kei Nishikori (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.35. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.81 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.67%.
Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.76%EV +8.67%E +1.49%K +1.80%G +0.156% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.685%E -0.129%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.13%E -7.20%K -62.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.60%EV -4.24%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.29%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 18:45 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60% | 2.5% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |