Idioma:Português
Rafael Jodar v Kei Nishikori
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Previsão 81.30%1.23odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -3.45%
Kelly -22.61%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.37%81.26%81.17%83.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.04%86.21%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kei Nishikori (Visitante)
Previsão 18.70%5.35odd justa
EV +8.67%
Vantagem +1.49%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.156%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.81
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.76%18.74%18.83%20.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.035.005.8122.22%19.89%20.00%17.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rafael Jodar (Local): 81.30%; Kei Nishikori (Visitante): 18.70%. Para Kei Nishikori (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.35. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.81, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.67%.
Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.76%EV +8.67%E +1.49%K +1.80%G +0.156% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.87%E +0.522%K +0.638%G +0.018% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -0.124%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.685%E -0.129%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -0.872%E -0.164%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.81%E -0.344%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.13%E -7.20%K -62.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.74%E -0.527%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.60%EV -4.24%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.61%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.29%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.16%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -13.96%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 18:45 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60% | 2.5% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |