Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Jakub Mensik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 41.74%2.40fair odd
EV -0.665%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.482%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.72%41.74%41.80%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.47%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visit)
Prediction 58.26%1.72fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.791%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%58.26%58.20%59.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.7464.52%61.50%61.54%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 41.74%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 58.26%. For Jakub Mensik (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.44%E -7.04%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.38%E +0.791%K +1.86%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.665%E -0.279%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-30 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.59%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 15:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
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