Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brandon Nakashima v Jakub Mensik

2026-07-30 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.650%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%45.03%45.17%46.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.082.082.2050.76%48.17%47.96%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visit)

Prediction 54.90%1.82fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.44%54.97%54.83%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.731.7761.35%58.15%57.97%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.779%E -0.354%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 11:55
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.68%E -0.771%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 11:55
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 10:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:45
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 12:09
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 12:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 10:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 10:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 10:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 12:00
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:54
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:54
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:50
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 10:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 11:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 11:55
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:54
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 11:35
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 10:55
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 11:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 11:55
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 10:54
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 10:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 10:45
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -9.35%E -4.65%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -8.87%E -5.34%K -13.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 10:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -10.70%E -5.40%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.96%E -6.08%K -15.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-29 10:55
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%EV -10.51%E -6.45%K -16.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-29 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%3.7%2026-07-29 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%7.0%2026-07-29 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%7.0%2026-07-29 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%7.0%2026-07-29 13:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%9.0%2026-07-29 13:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 42.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%10.9%2026-07-29 13:15