Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima v Jakub Mensik

2026-07-30 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Predicción 45.10%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.777%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.647%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.42%45.07%45.17%46.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.082.072.2050.76%48.19%48.31%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Predicción 54.90%1.82momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -3.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.44%54.93%54.83%56.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.721.731.7761.35%58.15%57.97%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.777%E -0.353%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 11:55
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.68%E -0.770%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 11:55
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 10:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:45
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 12:09
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.03%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 12:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 10:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 10:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 10:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 12:00
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:54
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:54
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.77%E -4.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.77%E -4.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 11:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 11:55
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 10:54
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 11:35
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 10:55
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 11:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 11:55
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 10:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 14:14
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:45
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 10:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 10:45
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -9.35%E -4.65%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -8.87%E -5.34%K -13.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 10:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -10.70%E -5.40%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.97%E -6.08%K -15.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-29 10:55
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%EV -10.52%E -6.45%K -16.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-29 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%3.7%2026-07-29 13:30
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%4.6%2026-07-29 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%5.7%2026-07-29 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%5.7%2026-07-29 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%5.7%2026-07-29 14:10
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%12.1%2026-07-29 14:05