StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima v Jakub Mensik

Matchstart: 2026-07-30 15:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Brandon Nakashima 2–1 Jakub Mensik

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima (Hemma)

Prognos 41.74%2.40rättvist odds
EV -0.665%
Fördel -0.279%
Kelly -0.482%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.72%41.74%41.80%45.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.47%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Borta)

Prognos 58.26%1.72rättvist odds
EV +1.38%
Fördel +0.791%
Kelly +1.86%
Tillväxt +0.026%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.09%58.26%58.20%59.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.631.631.7464.52%61.50%61.54%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Brandon Nakashima (Hemma): 41.74%; Jakub Mensik (Borta): 58.26%. För Jakub Mensik (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.72. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.74, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.38%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.44%E -7.04%K -13.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.38%E +0.791%K +1.86%G +0.026%6.3%2026-07-30 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 10:50
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.665%E -0.279%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 13:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 15:00
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 14:54
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 14:49
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 14:10
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 14:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 14:10
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 14:09
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 14:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:55
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.59%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 15:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:59
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:10
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:10
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 14:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 15:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 13:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-30 15:00
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-30 15:00
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-30 15:00
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-07-30 15:04
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-30 15:00