Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Brandon Nakashima v Jakub Mensik

Inizio: 2026-07-30 15:05 UTC

Finale: Brandon Nakashima 2–1 Jakub Mensik

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Brandon Nakashima (Casa)

Previsione 41.74%2.40quota equa
EV -0.665%
Vantaggio -0.279%
Kelly -0.482%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.72%41.74%41.80%45.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.47%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.26%1.72quota equa
EV +1.38%
Vantaggio +0.791%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%58.26%58.20%59.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.631.631.7464.52%61.50%61.54%57.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Brandon Nakashima (Casa): 41.74%; Jakub Mensik (Trasferta): 58.26%. Per Jakub Mensik (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.72. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.38%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.44%E -7.04%K -13.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.38%E +0.791%K +1.86%G +0.026%6.3%2026-07-30 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 10:50
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.665%E -0.279%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 13:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 15:00
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 14:54
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 14:49
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:49
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 14:10
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 14:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 14:10
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 14:09
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 14:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:55
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.59%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 15:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 15:00
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:59
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:10
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:10
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 14:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 15:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 13:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-30 15:00
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-30 15:00
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-30 15:00
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-07-30 15:04
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-30 15:00