Langue:Français
Brandon Nakashima v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prévision 41.74%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.665%
Avantage -0.279%
Kelly -0.482%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.72%41.74%41.80%45.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.47%44.44%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.26%1.72cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.791%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.026%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%58.26%58.20%59.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.631.7464.52%61.50%61.54%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 41.74% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 58.26%. Pour Jakub Mensik (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.72. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.74, soit une espérance positive de +1.38%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.44%E -7.04%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.38%E +0.791%K +1.86%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.665%E -0.279%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-30 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.59%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 13:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 15:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |