The School of Odds

Arthur Fils v Rafael Jodar

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prediction 57.97%1.72fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%58.08%58.06%59.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.641.641.6663.29%61.12%60.98%60.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Visit)

Prediction 42.03%2.38fair odd
EV -0.397%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.290%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%41.92%41.94%42.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.132.252.252.3746.95%44.37%44.44%42.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 01:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 02:05
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.86%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 01:55
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:40
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:55
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:10
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -0.397%E -0.167%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 01:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:49
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 06:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 03:21
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 01:55
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 02:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 07:10
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.24%E -0.526%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 03:25
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.41%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.59%EV -10.48%E -4.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 03:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-27 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-27 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-27 03:05
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-07-27 06:30
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-07-27 02:50