L’École des cotes

Arthur Fils v Rafael Jodar

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prévision 57.97%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -5.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.29%58.08%58.06%59.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.641.641.6663.29%61.13%60.98%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.03%2.38cote équitable
EV -0.397%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.290%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.66%41.92%41.94%42.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.132.252.252.3746.95%44.37%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 01:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 02:05
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.86%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 01:55
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:40
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:55
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:10
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -0.397%E -0.167%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 01:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:49
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 03:21
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 01:55
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 02:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 07:10
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.24%E -0.526%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 03:25
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 07:25
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.41%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.59%EV -10.48%E -4.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 03:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-27 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-27 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-27 07:55
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-07-27 07:50
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-07-27 02:50