Langue:Français
Arthur Fils v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prévision 59.85%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -4.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.00%59.80%62.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.571.571.6266.23%63.79%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.15%2.49cote équitable
EV +2.39%
Avantage +0.938%
Kelly +1.54%
Croissance +0.037%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.96%40.00%40.20%41.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.382.5544.44%41.87%42.02%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arthur Fils (Local) : 59.85% ; Rafael Jodar (Visiteur) : 40.15%. Pour Rafael Jodar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.49. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +2.39%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +2.39%E +0.938%K +1.54%G +0.037% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:33 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -0.821%E -0.332%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -9.63%E -6.38%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -2.43%E -0.999%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.24%E -2.22%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 15:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |