Język:Polski
Arthur Fils v Rafael Jodar
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Arthur Fils (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 59.85%1.67kurs godziwy
EV -3.05%
Przewaga -1.88%
Kelly -4.92%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%60.00%59.80%62.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.511.571.571.6266.23%63.79%63.69%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rafael Jodar (Goście)
Prognoza 40.15%2.49kurs godziwy
EV +2.39%
Przewaga +0.938%
Kelly +1.54%
Wzrost +0.037%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.96%40.00%40.20%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.392.382.5544.44%41.87%42.02%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Arthur Fils (Gospodarze): 59.85%; Rafael Jodar (Goście): 40.15%. Dla wyniku Rafael Jodar (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.49. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.39%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +2.39%E +0.938%K +1.54%G +0.037% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:33 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -0.821%E -0.332%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -9.63%E -6.38%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -2.43%E -0.999%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.24%E -2.22%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 15:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |