Lingua:Italiano
Arthur Fils v Rafael Jodar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Arthur Fils (Casa)
Previsione 59.85%1.67quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -4.92%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%60.00%59.80%62.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.571.571.6266.23%63.79%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)
Previsione 40.15%2.49quota equa
EV +2.39%
Vantaggio +0.938%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescita +0.037%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.96%40.00%40.20%41.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.392.382.5544.44%41.87%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arthur Fils (Casa): 59.85%; Rafael Jodar (Trasferta): 40.15%. Per Rafael Jodar (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.49. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.39%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +2.39%E +0.938%K +1.54%G +0.037% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:33 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -0.821%E -0.332%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -9.63%E -6.38%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -2.43%E -0.999%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.24%E -2.22%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 15:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |