Idioma:Español
Arthur Fils v Rafael Jodar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fils (Local)
Predicción 59.85%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -4.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.00%59.80%62.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.571.571.6266.23%63.79%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 40.15%2.49momio equitativo
EV +2.39%
Ventaja +0.938%
Kelly +1.54%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.96%40.00%40.20%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.382.5544.44%41.87%42.02%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arthur Fils (Local): 59.85%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 40.15%. Para Rafael Jodar (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.49. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.39%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +2.39%E +0.938%K +1.54%G +0.037% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.384%E +0.154%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:33 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -0.419%E -0.169%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -0.821%E -0.332%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.62%E -0.663%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -9.63%E -6.38%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -2.43%E -0.999%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.24%E -2.22%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.84%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.43%E -5.51%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 15:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.44%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.65%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.25%E -2.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 16:55 |