La escuela de los momios

Arthur Fils v Rafael Jodar

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Predicción 57.97%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -5.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.29%58.08%58.06%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.641.641.6663.29%61.13%60.98%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Predicción 42.03%2.38momio equitativo
EV -0.397%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.290%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%41.92%41.94%42.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.132.252.252.3746.95%44.37%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 01:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 02:05
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.86%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 01:55
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:40
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:55
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:10
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -0.397%E -0.167%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 01:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:49
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 03:21
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 01:55
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 02:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.76%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 07:10
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.24%E -0.526%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 03:25
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 07:25
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.41%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.59%EV -10.48%E -4.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 03:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-27 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-27 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-27 07:55
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-07-27 07:50
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-07-27 02:50