The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Kickoff: 2026-07-29 22:00 UTC

Final: Alex de Minaur 2–1 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prediction 93.99%1.06fair odd
EV +66.35%
Edge +37.49%
Kelly +86.17%
Growth +57.18%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%89.91%94.64%99.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.211.021.77100.00%82.56%98.04%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit)

Prediction 6.01%16.63fair odd
EV +657.87%
Edge +5.22%
Kelly +5.26%
Growth +34.62%

assuming max odds 126.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.79%10.09%5.36%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.0018.1411.50126.0050.00%5.51%8.70%0.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alex de Minaur (Local): 93.99%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit): 6.01%. For Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.63. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 126.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +657.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 17:10
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -87.97%E -43.99%K -87.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:21
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +63.53%E +36.51%K +85.86%G +54.55%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 17:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 17:23
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 15:40
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +60.71%E +35.51%K +85.51%G +51.92%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -86.83%E -39.65%K -72.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 17:10
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -87.55%E -42.29%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +54.14%E +33.01%K +84.59%G +45.79%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -86.77%E -39.44%K -72.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 04:05
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 90.85%EV +2.44%E +2.24%K +27.15%G +0.664%10.82I 9.24%NM 9.15%EV -34.92%E -3.23%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.0%2026-07-29 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 19:21
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 19:22
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 19:21
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -45.87%E -5.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 19:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -63.91%E -10.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 19:10
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:21
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:21
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%2.8%2026-07-29 19:21
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%3.6%2026-07-29 19:22
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%3.6%2026-07-29 19:17
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.78%E -0.652%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -15.79%E -1.13%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:22
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:20
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 19:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:21
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -43.16%E -4.57%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:13
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27%2.9%2026-07-29 19:22
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +20.30%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.217%4.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%4.6%2026-07-29 19:21
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -3.76%E -0.235%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:21
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -18.80%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:20
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:17
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -30.83%E -2.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-29 19:13
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.21%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%126.00I 0.79%NM 0.79%EV +657.87%E +5.22%K +5.26%G +34.62%0.8%2026-07-29 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +507.50%E +5.02%K +5.07%G +25.76%1.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +302.99%E +4.52%K +4.59%G +13.91%1.5%2026-07-29 19:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +236.83%E +4.23%K +4.31%G +10.20%1.8%2026-07-29 19:24
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +146.61%E +3.58%K +3.67%G +5.37%2.4%2026-07-29 19:22
Winamax (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23%3.3%2026-07-29 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23%3.3%2026-07-29 19:22
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +74.43%E +2.57%K +2.66%G +1.98%3.4%2026-07-29 19:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27%3.8%2026-07-29 19:20
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:21
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Smarkets◎1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%34.01I 2.94%NM 2.86%2.9%2026-07-29 19:22
Matchbook◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%3.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 96.90%31.25I 3.20%NM 3.10%3.2%2026-07-29 19:20

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