The School of Odds

Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prediction 55.51%1.80fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%55.69%55.42%56.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.16%59.17%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit)

Prediction 44.49%2.25fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.31%44.58%45.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2048.78%46.49%46.51%45.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 05:55
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 05:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 05:49
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 05:45
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 05:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 05:45
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 05:50
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 05:55
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 07:09
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 05:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 05:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 05:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 05:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:00
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 05:50
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 05:54
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:31
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 05:50
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 05:54
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.96%E -5.46%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 03:30
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.51%E -5.84%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 05:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-07-27 05:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-27 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-27 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-27 07:20
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.8%2026-07-27 07:16