StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-29 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Alex de Minaur 2–1 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex de Minaur (Heim)

Prognose 93.99%1.06faire Quote
EV +66.35%
Vorteil +37.49%
Kelly +86.17%
Wachstum +57.18%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.05%89.91%94.64%99.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.001.211.021.77100.00%82.56%98.04%56.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts)

Prognose 6.01%16.63faire Quote
EV +657.87%
Vorteil +5.22%
Kelly +5.26%
Wachstum +34.62%

bei einer Höchstquote von 126.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
0.79%10.09%5.36%46.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.0018.1411.50126.0050.00%5.51%8.70%0.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex de Minaur (Heim): 93.99%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts): 6.01%. Für Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 16.63. 22 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 126.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +657.87%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 17:10
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -87.97%E -43.99%K -87.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:21
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +63.53%E +36.51%K +85.86%G +54.55%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 17:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 17:23
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 15:40
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +60.71%E +35.51%K +85.51%G +51.92%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -86.83%E -39.65%K -72.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 17:10
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -87.55%E -42.29%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +54.14%E +33.01%K +84.59%G +45.79%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -86.77%E -39.44%K -72.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 04:05
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 90.85%EV +2.44%E +2.24%K +27.15%G +0.664%10.82I 9.24%NM 9.15%EV -34.92%E -3.23%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.0%2026-07-29 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 19:21
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 19:22
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 19:21
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -45.87%E -5.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 19:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -63.91%E -10.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 19:10
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:21
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:21
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%2.8%2026-07-29 19:21
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%3.6%2026-07-29 19:22
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%3.6%2026-07-29 19:17
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.78%E -0.652%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -15.79%E -1.13%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:22
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:20
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 19:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:21
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -43.16%E -4.57%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:13
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27%2.9%2026-07-29 19:22
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +20.30%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.217%4.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%4.6%2026-07-29 19:21
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -3.76%E -0.235%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:21
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -18.80%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:20
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:17
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -30.83%E -2.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-29 19:13
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.21%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%126.00I 0.79%NM 0.79%EV +657.87%E +5.22%K +5.26%G +34.62%0.8%2026-07-29 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +507.50%E +5.02%K +5.07%G +25.76%1.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +302.99%E +4.52%K +4.59%G +13.91%1.5%2026-07-29 19:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +236.83%E +4.23%K +4.31%G +10.20%1.8%2026-07-29 19:24
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +146.61%E +3.58%K +3.67%G +5.37%2.4%2026-07-29 19:22
Winamax (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23%3.3%2026-07-29 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23%3.3%2026-07-29 19:22
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +74.43%E +2.57%K +2.66%G +1.98%3.4%2026-07-29 19:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27%3.8%2026-07-29 19:20
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:21
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:23
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%34.01I 2.94%NM 2.86%2.9%2026-07-29 19:22
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%3.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.90%31.25I 3.20%NM 3.10%3.2%2026-07-29 19:20